Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 13.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.1% | -5.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.3% | -5.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 4 | 0-2-2 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 44.7% | -3.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.4% | +9.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.1% | -25.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mirrorbound Covenant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |